WAB
AH ambassador
I think that is about as incorrect interpretation of this decision as possible.
I would be stunned if the issue wasn't discussed between Biden and Trump during their long meeting on November 13th. Putting a limitation on such weapons when they were initially delivered was McNamarish to begin with. The Ukrainians could freely strike Crimea with them, but not major air bases just over the border from Kharkiv? This represented the typical risk avoidance demonstrated by this administration since the beginning of the conflict. The North Korean deployment provided even Jake Sullivan a provocation and opportunity even he could not ignore.
The appearance of those North Koreans is already a rather obvious indicator of growing Russian battlefield desperation. as is the near extinction of their modernized armor. Additionally, the rubble has an exchange rate of 100 to the US dollar, Russia's central bank just raised interest rates to 21%, and inflation is running at a steady clip of 7.5-8%. If the Ukrainians are successful in disrupting the current Russian offensive effort that is already costing Russia nearly 1500 casualties a day, Kyiv's negotiating position increases meaningfuilly. That will help the new administration in reaching a negotiated settlement that might last more than 48 months. As you may have noticed, the end the war in 24 hours hasn't worked out just yet.
The only "party" that started this war was the one led by Vladimir Putin.
I agree with your point. I would however say that we likely contributed to Putin’s belief that he would be unopposed in an invasion of Ukraine. Between Obama’s hand-wringing response to the invasion of Crimea and Biden’s ‘minor incursion’ comments, he had every reason to believe that we would stand down. In fact, if the invasion had gone the way Putin, and frankly most military experts in the world believed, that almost certainly would have been the case, and today we would be staring down a much larger Russia preparing to invade the Baltics.
Ukraine, and a fellow named Zelensky, threw a major spanner into Putin’s plans. I will never forget ‘what I need is bullets, not a plane ride’. A leader for a time such as this!