Politics

[Altitude sickness]

Maryland politician flying to El Salvador to try and bring back the El Salvadoran gang member who was deported, and is now the radical lefts new hero flavor of the month.
The democrat mentality truly is a disturbing sickness.

Isn’t it strange how these greasy politicians just choose to fly on junkets all over the world on our dime.

in what business does one of your employees just jump on a jet and fly somewhere on their own whim?

there should be oversight and approval to spend our money because some grandstander just wants to go visit a country. Right and left side of the aisle.

 

[wesheltonj]

Goldman Sachs Warns of Sub-$40 Oil Under One Scenario
Wednesday Apr 16, 2025
URL: https://www.rigzone.com/news/goldma...nder_one_scenario-16-apr-2025-180245-article/
In a report sent to Rigzone by the Goldman Sachs team on Monday, Goldman Sachs analysts revealed that they see the Brent oil price falling to under $40 per barrel under one scenario.

“In a more extreme and less likely scenario with both a global GDP slowdown and a full unwind of OPEC cuts, which would discipline non-OPEC supply, we estimate that Brent would fall under $40 in late 2025,” the analysts warned in the report.

This is one of four “downside price scenarios”, the Goldman Sachs analysts highlighted in the report. The analysts outlined that, under their base case, they expect Brent to average $63 per barrel in the remainder of 2025 and $58 per barrel in 2026.

“Our base case assumes that one, the U.S. avoids recession and two, OPEC+ supply rises only modestly,” the Goldman Sachs analysts said in the report.

The analysts went on to warn in the report that risks to their oil price forecast are mostly to the downside.

Outlining another downside price scenario in the report, the analysts said, “assuming a typical U.S. recession shock and our OPEC baseline, we estimate that Brent would average $61/53 in Bal25/Cal26, respectively”.

“In a global GDP slowdown scenario and keeping our OPEC baseline unchanged, we estimate that Brent would average $58/47 in Bal25/Cal26. We estimate a similar price path assuming our GDP baseline and a full unwind of the 2.2 million barrels per day of OPEC8+ cuts,” they added in the report, outlining another downside scenario.

“We also see some downside risks to oil prices from a potentially larger rise in OECD commercial stocks even under our supply-demand baseline,” the analysts went on to state in the report.

“Specifically, OECD stocks may rise more if floating storage - which tends to build on attractive storage incentives in contango markets - or China inventories (perhaps on fears about weak demand or on a slowdown in strategic restocking) were to rise less than our base case,” they added.

The Goldman Sachs analysts also highlighted one “upside price scenario” in the report.

“Oil prices may be higher than our forecast under a sharp de-escalating pivot in U.S. trade policy,” the analysts noted.

“If global GDP were to realize in line with our mid-March expectations - quite an optimistic scenario - and keeping our OPEC baseline, we estimate that Brent would average $67/64 in Bal25/Cal26,” they added.

Goldman Sachs’ report outlined that the company’s base scenario sees the Brent spot price averaging $66 per barrel in 2025 and $58 per barrel in 2026. The Brent spot price is expected to come in at $65 per barrel in the second quarter of this year, $63 per barrel in the third quarter, $62 per barrel in the fourth quarter, $61 per barrel in the first quarter of 2026, $59 per barrel in the second quarter, $57 per barrel in the third quarter, and $56 per barrel in the fourth quarter, the report highlighted.

The report also outlined that the company’s base case sees the Brent Futures price averaging $63 per barrel across 2025 and 2026. Goldman Sachs expects the Brent Futures price to average $64 per barrel in the second quarter of this year, $63 per barrel in the third quarter, $62 per barrel across the fourth quarter of 2025 and first quarter of 2026, and $63 per barrel across the second, third, and fourth quarters of next year, the report revealed.

Rigzone has contacted the White House, OPEC, the State Council of the People's Republic of China, and the OECD for comment on Goldman Sachs’ report. At the time of writing, none of the above have responded to Rigzone.

According to a BMI report sent to Rigzone by the Fitch Group on Monday, BMI sees the Brent oil price averaging $68 per barrel in 2025 and $71 per barrel in 2026. A Bloomberg consensus included in the report projected that Brent will average $73 per barrel this year and $71 per barrel next year. BMI highlighted in the report that it is a contributor to the Bloomberg consensus.

A research note sent to Rigzone by Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Strategy at J.P. Morgan, on April 14 showed that J.P. Morgan expects the average Brent price to come in at $66 per barrel in 2025 and $57 per barrel in 2026.

In its latest short term energy outlook, which was released on April 10, the U.S. Energy Information Administration projected that the Brent spot price will average $67.87 per barrel in 2025 and $61.48 per barrel in 2026.

Personally, I would like to see Louisiana Light at $80+, as that what Eagle Ford sells for.

 

[375 Ruger Fan]

 

[Wishfulthinker580]

 

[flatwater bill]

In 2012 two women from Yorkshire, England did a camper van holiday in New Zealand. Yvonne Gray and her wife Sharon wanted to open a restaurant. Instead, they fell in love with New Zealand (NZ) and said the only reasonable thing to do was "to join the Navy". They did. Fast forward 10 years and Yvonne was made Captain of one of the newest Kiwi ships, the $214 million HMNZS Mananui. Later, the NZ Defense Force would admit that she did not have the specific qualifications or experience for this position, but was instead, a "leading queer figure". (their words, not mine). Two years later captain and crew were sent to do a hydrographic survey of a reef near Samoa. The auto pilot was set on a course straight for the reef and they were on their way. As the reef loomed closer, they tried to turn away, but the ship would not respond. They tried to stop, but it was no use. The Mananui seemed unstoppable. They were being drawn on by an invisible force... like in Heart of Darkness....or perhaps a tractor beam. Then someone on the bridge, I think it was Curly Joe, suggested they open the throttles wide and maybe they could break free. Like the Millenium Falcon did. It seemed a good idea since steering was useless. But this action failed, and they picked up speed, slamming into the reef balls to the wall. Sort of. The ship foundered and sank. Yvonne made the announcement to abandon ship, to the lifeboats. During this announcement, the black-box voice recorder picked up one of the bridge crew (Moe?) asking if he should turn off the auto-pilot. And why not, the switch was in plain sight, centered on the control console that they had been feverishly working. Later, Vice Chief of the Navy, Commodore Karl Woodhead (ya, I know) noted that the auto-pilot over rides all other inputs from the helm or the throttles. Pesky little fact Yvonne hadn't picked up on in 2 years of command. The Kiwis are woke, even more woke than England. Their initial incident report praised the Captain for saving all 75 souls aboard (although it was really Samoan fishermen). The smoke screen summary tried to hide the DEI shot to the foot. It didn't fly....or float. There was a public outcry and Capt Gray.....the self proclaimed leading queer figure, faces court martial. Her defense is that the Manawanui self identified as a submarine, as was it's right, and she helped it along. OK, that may be fanciful, but everything else, from Commodore Woodhead to the incident is correct and completely DEI. The ship's official designation was a "Dive and Salvage Ship", and that proved to be exactly right..............FWB

 

[Brent in Az]

Can anyone recommend a good telemedicine service?

 

[Altitude sickness]

Jase

 

[John Wasmuth]

3rd leaker escorted out of pentagon…

MSN

 

[rookhawk]

@Red Leg I haven't read any of your war updates on this thread in awhile. Any recent analysis on geo-military topics be it Ukraine, China, Iran, etc?

 

[Rocked and Loaded]

The lefty luvvies gone apeshit over some donkeys ....talking about "their families " being taken....fk me ....

https://www.sfgate.com/la/article/wild-donkeys-inland-empire-20263881.php

Reading that gave me a headache. I like the idea of the morons driving out to Texas to bring the feral donkeys “home.” I wonder what the fine for releasing large invasive mammals would be? Hopefully the California department of fish and wildlife is watching these lunatics.

 

[Newboomer]

Reading that gave me a headache. I like the idea of the morons driving out to Texas to bring the feral donkeys “home.” I wonder what the fine for releasing large invasive mammals would be? Hopefully the California department of fish and wildlife is watching these lunatics.

Oh, well. The corruptifornicator lefty sickos are at it again. They want all this crap but don't want to take care of it themselves. Let the govt do it and then whine about the cost.

 

[deewayne2003]

Reading that gave me a headache. I like the idea of the morons driving out to Texas to bring the feral donkeys “home.” I wonder what the fine for releasing large invasive mammals would be? Hopefully the California department of fish and wildlife is watching these lunatics.

The fine is next to nothing, in Texas it's a class C misdemeanor punishable by $500 fine, second offense is a class B which is up to $2,000 fine and 180days in jail. I've never heard of anyone getting so much as a fine.

The parks service in Big Bend national park at one time was issues Ruger 77 .308's for the sole purpose of shooting feral donkeys; until several lawsuits were filed by people who like to watch them drink from the river.

Wild Donkeys Being Shot In Big Bend State Park

Wild donkeys, also known as burros, are wandering into Texas from Mexico. The Texas Parks and Wildlife Department considers about 300 burros in Big Bend…

www.kut.org

Of course the animal rights activists claim that the donkeys were being killed because of the Big Horn sheep that the parks department is trying to protect in preference to "Wealthy Connected Hunters"; which is a crock of shit, because Big Horn sheep hunting is not allowed in the national park unless special dispensation is granted such as the "Texas Big Time Hunts" lottery which is open to the general public.

People think donkeys and horses are cute, but they don't understand that these animals can out travel native wildlife and will destroy water sources and then be able to move to another area to find water, while everything else in the ecosystem dies because they can't travel/make it to a new water source.

I've seen this first hand in the USA as well as Australia.

 

[Rocked and Loaded]

The fine is next to nothing, in Texas it's a class C misdemeanor punishable by $500 fine, second offense is a class B which is up to $2,000 fine and 180days in jail. I've never heard of anyone getting so much as a fine.

The parks service in Big Bend national park at one time was issues Ruger 77 .308's for the sole purpose of shooting feral donkeys; until several lawsuits were filed by people who like to watch them drink from the river.

Wild Donkeys Being Shot In Big Bend State Park

Wild donkeys, also known as burros, are wandering into Texas from Mexico. The Texas Parks and Wildlife Department considers about 300 burros in Big Bend…

www.kut.org

Of course the animal rights activists claim that the donkeys were being killed because of the Big Horn sheep that the parks department is trying to protect in preference to "Wealthy Connected Hunters"; which is a crock of shit, because Big Horn sheep hunting is not allowed in the national park unless special dispensation is granted such as the "Texas Big Time Hunts" lottery which is open to the general public.

People think donkeys and horses are cute, but they don't understand that these animals can out travel native wildlife and will destroy water sources and then be able to move to another area to find water, while everything else in the ecosystem dies because they can't travel/make it to a new water source.

I've seen this first hand in the USA as well as Australia.

But what’s the time in CA? I assume that’s where the donkeys would be returned to. We tend to have pretty strict environmental laws.

NWTF is wants to establish turkeys in Riverside and we’d like to introduce some new genes down here as well but CADFW is pretty strict about how that’s done.

I would also assume that any fine would be per animal.

 

[spike.t]

The fine is next to nothing, in Texas it's a class C misdemeanor punishable by $500 fine, second offense is a class B which is up to $2,000 fine and 180days in jail. I've never heard of anyone getting so much as a fine.

The parks service in Big Bend national park at one time was issues Ruger 77 .308's for the sole purpose of shooting feral donkeys; until several lawsuits were filed by people who like to watch them drink from the river.

Wild Donkeys Being Shot In Big Bend State Park

Wild donkeys, also known as burros, are wandering into Texas from Mexico. The Texas Parks and Wildlife Department considers about 300 burros in Big Bend…

www.kut.org

Of course the animal rights activists claim that the donkeys were being killed because of the Big Horn sheep that the parks department is trying to protect in preference to "Wealthy Connected Hunters"; which is a crock of shit, because Big Horn sheep hunting is not allowed in the national park unless special dispensation is granted such as the "Texas Big Time Hunts" lottery which is open to the general public.

People think donkeys and horses are cute, but they don't understand that these animals can out travel native wildlife and will destroy water sources and then be able to move to another area to find water, while everything else in the ecosystem dies because they can't travel/make it to a new water source.

I've seen this first hand in the USA as well as Australia.

Just shoot the fkn things.....I am available free of charge ...just ammo for my 500 Jeffery....

 

[spike.t]

Well blow me over with a feather.....England getting something correct

Just wondering if anyone watched this....legally defines what a woman is in law.....which some politicians..judges etc etc etc seem to have a problem working out....

 

[deewayne2003]

But what’s the time in CA? I assume that’s where the donkeys would be returned to. We tend to have pretty strict environmental laws.

NWTF is wants to establish turkeys in Riverside and we’d like to introduce some new genes down here as well but CADFW is pretty strict about how that’s done.

I would also assume that any fine would be per animal.

Those animals will be relocated to ranches that have the federal cash coming into them, so it's not considered releasing feral animals; it's "rehoming"

One ranch in North East Oklahoma has 2,100 horses on it and the federal government pays that ranch $3.25 per head per day..... $2.49Mil per year; they don't even have to feed these horses until temps drop below 40F and then it can jump to as much as $5 per head per day.

 

[wesheltonj]

Just wondering if anyone watched this....legally defines what a woman is in law.....which some politicians..judges etc etc etc seem to have a problem working out....

I watched. I guess the Law Lords are not exactly a liberal bunch after all.

 

[Altitude sickness]

Just wondering if anyone watched this....legally defines what a woman is in law.....which some politicians..judges etc etc etc seem to have a problem working out....

The UK started this recent sexual ambiguity BS and transphobia crap. Then the US liberals followed.

So it’s very heartening to see the UK may be reversing course.

Now since liberals worship Europeans perhaps they will follow this great first step. It may take them a few more years of nonsense. But they will eventually do it if for no other reason than to gain votes.

 

[BJH65]

Reading that gave me a headache. I like the idea of the morons driving out to Texas to bring the feral donkeys “home.” I wonder what the fine for releasing large invasive mammals would be? Hopefully the California department of fish and wildlife is watching these lunatics.

Unfortunately, the lunatics and morons you just mentioned also make up, run and oversee the California Department of Fish and Wildlife. Why an ignorant public who subscribe to cartoon ecology and management of wildlife were given the ability to even vote on a mountain lion hunting ban is insanity (Mountain Lions of course are nowhere near endangered). Of course biologists should be making recommendations.

The deer herd is currently estimated at 475,000 currently but I believe it’s lower and mostly on private property. The deer herd was 2 million in 1960 and a million when I started hunting in the 70’s. Everything from initially claiming lead bullets were causing the demise of the California Condor and a ban on lead ammunition in the Central Valley all based on flawed science but no wait, they changed their minds to lead is just bad it must be banned statewide, never mind about the flawed science let’s just change the argument.

Mountain Lion (higher population than at any time) are banned from hunting nor can you legally hunt one in a different state and bring back to California, that’s a felony. Bobcat was banned for no reason, well eh, they are cute! For years the state made lots of money on tags for wild boar and managed them like a native species although they are quite clearly an invasive species but on the other hand removed all the non native Roosevelt Elk and mule deer on Santa Rosa Island (been there since President Theodore Roosevelt).

The lunatics managing California will never shoot some cute donkeys of course they’ll hire private contractors to eliminate wild pigs in some state parks, paying them millions, only for the population to recover and return. But wild pigs are ugly and not cute like donkeys. California is FUBAR and never coming back to sanity, not in my lifetime, which is why we left. Okay, rant over.

 

[Wishfulthinker580]

Just shoot the fkn things.....I am available free of charge ...just ammo for my 500 Jeffery....

Ditto. Would be a blast